To be fair, most people don't care about who's behind their apps, so the only way for alternatives to actually get into the market is for the big platform to mess up, like what happened with India.
But then, Twitter did censor stuff (to avoid getting blocked for a N-th time, I assume) and that didn't make people leave, so what will?
The only realistic event I can see regarding Mastodon is: Someone will leak stuff here and get it banned, along with associating Masto with "the bad guys"
Well, if someone made a Mastodon instance, and called it "THE NEW TURKISH SOCIAL MEDIA PLATFORM", it's possible for some people to try it out, but a lot of people tried that with proprietary sites, and look at how they turned out: Basically dead.
The fediverse had an advantage of already being populated, but since most people here speak English, and most Turkish people don't care about learning English, that advantage doesn't help much.
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