My weather station: "Light rain".
The sky: blue.
The sun: shining.
Apparently we can predict what you're going to buy next, but the current weather is still a mystery to us.
s/predict/influence and demand/
Weather, like cows and corn, doesn't care.
DST: "hey it's an hour different now"
Cows: "you should have milked me an hour ago, now my milk is sour"
Corn: "Whatever, if you go away it will still rain and I will still make seeds and there will be more corn"
Hybrid, sterile corn: "Whatever, if you go away, the pain will end"
Weather: "LOL have a tornado and snow, I don't care if it's July, welcome to the southern hemisphere bitch"
Advertising: "Buy my chicken flavored air conditioning"
Cows: "Wow humans are dumb"
Corn: "So dumb"
Weather: "NOPE.GIF ICE ICE BABY"
Advertising: "but it worked on our focus group"
Bill Hicks: "keeeeeel yourself"
@fribbledom I’ve had this recurring thought of wether climate change is messing up the climate models used for weather forecasting
@fribbledom I think the data sets to train both models are hugely different in size. A single planet with only so many days for weather forecasting, compared to billions of users making purchase decisions every day in the case of user behaviour prediction.
@fribbledom Pretty soon people's phones/weather stations will be linked to their door/surveillance cameras, and those cameras will look outside and tell people what they are seeing.
@fribbledom I'm not convinced they can predict what someone is going to buy next, either. I think Silicon Valley tries to sell that scam to keep the profits rolling in. It's just another form of the Bullshit Alchemy whereby techbros transmute BS to dollars.
@fribbledom to be fair.
Weather systems are heavily complex and forecasts are still more accurate than predicting what people buy next
@fribbledom I've noticed that when it comes to rain within the next ~24h I'm better off checking the rain map and making my own prediction than trusting the forecast as-is.
As far as I can tell the problem where I live is that they're taking a "might it rain anywhere within the municipality" approach and it's not rare for the rain to only hit a small part of it.
The weather, like our dreams
Is never quite what it seems.
It might be better to expect
A forecast we cannot reject.
@fribbledom what? We can predict what I'm going to buy next and Amazon is still recommending me frying pans after buying a frying pan?
@fribbledom for what it’s worth, i’ve had pretty satisfactory results (for when to go out bouldering, where ‘no rain for the last 3 days’ is kinda crucial) with kachelmannwetter’s modellvergleich XL (meteologix and forecast XL for the international folks), where you get prediction data from multiple models next to each other – so it’s not just ‘we think it’ll rain this much’ but ‘5 models think it’s not going to rain at all, and 2 say it’s going to pour.’
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