Wonder what ya'll think the odds are for a Korean reunification / permeable border by 2020.
I give it about 40%. South Korea has enormous incentive to do so.
@Nentuaby in the past 12 months the key ally of SK has shifted posture from protecting SK to preparing for war on SK.
Strategically, NK has an opportunity to carve off SK from the US to be a neutral nation. But they'll have to give up a lot of the thought control they use to do so.
@pnathan If North Korea becomes a democracy I'm all for it.
@skquinn Honestly, does it matter? DPRK could shift to a more Chinese model, then share administrative zones with RoK.
It's an unstable situation today, and has been so for 50 years- the US has just gotten unstable enough it's gotten visible.
@pnathan I mean, South Korea has had enormous incentive to do so for decades. It's the North with an existential imperative to keep a hermetic cultural seal.