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At the very least he probably won’t still be alive

I don’t think that Putin is a leader that I’d be very happy with, but I’m dubious that there will be revolution in Russia unless things get a lot worse than they are.

Things may not be ideal in Russia, but they have to get pretty bad before people are generally willing to put life and limb on the line to change things by force. They have been that bad in Russia before, but I’m not convinced that people feel that strongly today.

Also, people are a lot better-connected and mobile today than they once were. If things in Russia suck in the 2020s, 2030s, and 2040s, I think that it’s a lot more likely that people will just individually leave to other countries, draining Russia’s pool of population, which already has real demographic issues. On an individual basis, it’s just an easier, less-risky way to improve one’s situation. Which is…not great for Russia as a country, and isn’t exactly a gold star for the Russian government, but doesn’t really put the guys in the Kremlin at risk. Acts as kind of a pressure release valve for regime stability, if anything.

That being said, I also didn’t expect Wagner to do a run on Moscow, so…shrugs