this year's "hmm, actually this is bad" post: Eliezer Yudkowsky Is Frequently, Confidently, Egregiously Wrong
awful.systemsthis year's "hmm, actually this is bad" post: Eliezer Yudkowsky Is Frequently, Confidently, Egregiously Wrong - awful.systems
@dgerard reading the bit on decision theory and I'm reminded of that one anecdote about the decision theorist who asked their friend if they should propose to their wife.
@dgerard I'm sure in some domains decision theory works fine but lordy for actual practical life advice just read some virtue ethicist, the solution to being dutch book'd isn't becoming a perfect bayesian its to not take stupid bets