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@BartVerheggen @Sustainable2050

Ah that makes sense.

So in contrast to what the #NOS quote suggests, it's not so much that the #AMOC causes the climate in #Europe to be warmer than that of (the comparable part of) #Canada. It actually prevents it from being much colder.

(Where "comparable" should then not only be understood in terms of latitude, but also in terms of the east-west exposure to the ocean.)

Good luck science-communicating that ...

@Sustainable2050

Vancouver is located at a similar latitude as Lourdes-de-Blanc-Sablon, but at the west coast of #Canada.

Therefore it receives relatively warm air from the ocean in the winter, which means its winter temperatures are similar to those of Amsterdam.

In fact, despite the absence of an #AMOC equivalent, #Vancouver 's average winter temperature appears to be slightly higher than that of #Amsterdam?

@BartVerheggen Any thoughts?

"Met de kennis van nu is het meest waarschijnlijke scenario nog steeds dat het warmer gaat worden. Alleen is dit een nieuw inzicht dat we niet kunnen negeren", zegt Deltacommissaris Co Verdaas die de werkgroep leidt. Een inzicht met verstrekkende gevolgen. Omdat de veiligheid van waterland Nederland mogelijk in het geding is, leidt de Deltacommissaris de werkgroep.

#amoc
nos.nl/nieuwsuur/collectie/138

nos.nlNieuw klimaatscenario baart onderzoekers zorgen: juist kouder NederlandNu de aarde verder opwarmt, is de vrees dat de Atlantische Golfstroom - die Europa verwarmt - kan stilvallen. In Nederland wordt het dan flink kouder.

The @NOS is picking up on the news about a potential breakdown of the Nort Atlantic Ocean Circulation #AMOC

But just to be clear (as it is not specifically mentioned in the article): such a cooling over Northwestern Europe would be *caused* by global warming, leading to excessive melting of the Greenland ice cap, thawing of permafrost and a large influx of freshwater into the Atlantic Ocean.

Nor is this scenario entirely new: already in 2004 there was a major Hollywood movie around this idea ( The Day after Tomorrow).

nos.nl/nieuwsuur/collectie/138

nos.nlNieuw klimaatscenario baart onderzoekers zorgen: juist kouder NederlandNu de aarde verder opwarmt, is de vrees dat de Atlantische Golfstroom - die Europa verwarmt - kan stilvallen. In Nederland wordt het dan flink kouder.

The #Forest After Tomorrow:
Projecting the Impact of a Collapsing Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation on European #Tree-Species Distributions
...As opposed to the classic climate-change scenario supporting Mediterranean species in Central Europe, projected European tree-species portfolios consisted of a higher share of boreal, cold-tolerant species in the inactive AMOC scenario.....while others such as the spruce almost went extinct.
#amoc #ClimateCrisis

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/fu

@rahmstorf

In 1989 James Burke produced a documentary named "After the Warming" which highlighted the effect of slowing the global thermohaline circulation current.

"That was the key to everything. Change the saltiness of the Atlantic and you change the world's weather."
#AMOC #GlobalWarming #ClimateChange

youtu.be/451xJqNGFqU?si=40OsK3

New summary by @rahmstorf

Is the Atlantic Overturning Circulation Approaching a #TippingPoint?

"But the fact that all these studies, using different methods, point in the same direction, toward a risk that is much larger and earlier than we had thought until a few years ago, is a major concern. My assessment of these ... studies is that by the time they can provide a reasonably reliable warning of an impending #AMOC tipping, it will be too late to prevent it."
#climate
tos.org/oceanography/article/i

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@connyOe @rahmstorf @Ruth_Mottram

(2/n)

...wohl auf den , viel kühler werden, wie auch in einigen anderen Regionen.

Es wird auch gewaltige biologische Umwälzungen wegen des Wegfalls der Meeresströmungen geben und die nun👉 *neu* prognostierten *minus* 20% in der ACC-Zirkulation bis 2050 wird jedoch zu einer *weiteren Beschleunigung* der führen. 1)
...

2)
fediscience.org/@rahmstorf/114

FediScience.orgProf. Stefan Rahmstorf (@rahmstorf@fediscience.org)Bei Spektrum ist am Sonntag mein Aufsatz dazu erschienen (sorry, paywall) und aktuell der meistgelesene Beitrag. https://www.spektrum.de/news/steht-die-atlantische-umwaelzzirkulation-amoc-vor-dem-kipppunkt/2246069

❄️Between the last glacial maximum & today, humans were exposed to severely rising sea levels 🌊 & recurrent phases of strong abrupt cooling events.🥶 #MPIM researchers have uncovered the origin of these strong temperature fluctuations over the past 20,000 years using a novel coupled climate-ice sheet model. They found that #iceberg armadas 🧊🧊🧊 & changed river courses were responsible for #AMOC weakening & abrupt cooling.
mpimet.mpg.de/en/communication
CC BY 3.0 Ziemen et al. 2025 doi.org/10.5446/69659

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