Mike Honey<p>With the LP.8.1.* variant on the way to dominance in most places, it is time to ponder which variant might drive the next wave.</p><p>The leading contenders at this point are LF.7.7.2, LF.7.9, NB.1.8.1, XEC.25.1 XFH and (new) XFJ. </p><p>I show them here using a log scale, so you can compare their growth rates vs the most common LP.8.1.* sub-lineage: LP.8.1.1. There are more recent samples available, but the frequency analysis becomes increasingly distorted due to low volumes and patchy coverage.</p><p><a href="https://aus.social/tags/COVID19" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>COVID19</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/LF_7_7_2" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LF_7_7_2</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/LF_7_9" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LF_7_9</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/NB_1_8_1" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NB_1_8_1</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/XEC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>XEC</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/XFH" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>XFH</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/XFJ" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>XFJ</span></a><br>🧵</p>
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Mike Honey<p>With the LP.8.1.* variant on the way to dominance in most places, it is time to ponder which variant might drive the next wave.</p><p>The leading contenders at this point are LF.7.7.2, LF.7.9, NB.1.8.1, XEC.25.1 and XFH. </p><p>I show them here using a log scale, so you can compare their growth rates vs the most common LP.8.1.* sub-lineage: LP.8.1.1.</p><p><a href="https://aus.social/tags/COVID19" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>COVID19</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/LF_7_7_2" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LF_7_7_2</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/LF_7_9" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>LF_7_9</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/NB_1_8_1" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>NB_1_8_1</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/XEC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>XEC</span></a> <a href="https://aus.social/tags/XFH" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#<span>XFH</span></a> <br>🧵</p>
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