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Here. Right here is when it all went wrong.

hachyderm.io/@mekkaokereke/113

I'll admit I did not know that the effect on Black turnout would be this bad. I knew it was bad, but I significantly underestimated how bad. I didn't pay attention to it. I didn't know that the backslide in support continued.

Another miscalculation I made: I was pretty sure that the majority of white women would vote for Trump, and that white women's turnout would be high, but I did not anticipate how high. They showed up.

Hachyderm.iomekka okereke :verified: (@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io)"Today, I am announcing that as president, I will create a bipartisan council of advisors to give feedback on policy and inform my administration. Our democracy needs a healthy two-party system." Kamala Harris, on Oct 11th, 2024. This statement is not aimed at Black voters, or at her base of white, Asian, and Hispanic voters. It's aimed at undecideds and swing voters. This statement will reduce the number of Black men that want to vote for her. The idea is that it will gain swing voters. 1/N
Douglas Kilpatrick

@mekkaokereke Apologies for the stupid Q, but is there someplace to dive into the crosstabs of turnout? I was looking briefly last night and couldn't find anything useful

@kilpatds @mekkaokereke votes are still being counted so I don’t think there is any sound data yet. Exit polls give a rough picture, but the good stuff is based on the @catalist data file and precinct-level results. (Dunno how long it takes to get updated) catalist.us/

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