Here. Right here is when it all went wrong.
https://hachyderm.io/@mekkaokereke/113296098233486301
I'll admit I did not know that the effect on Black turnout would be this bad. I knew it was bad, but I significantly underestimated how bad. I didn't pay attention to it. I didn't know that the backslide in support continued.
Another miscalculation I made: I was pretty sure that the majority of white women would vote for Trump, and that white women's turnout would be high, but I did not anticipate how high. They showed up.
@mekkaokereke Apologies for the stupid Q, but is there someplace to dive into the crosstabs of turnout? I was looking briefly last night and couldn't find anything useful
@kilpatds @mekkaokereke votes are still being counted so I don’t think there is any sound data yet. Exit polls give a rough picture, but the good stuff is based on the @catalist data file and precinct-level results. (Dunno how long it takes to get updated) https://catalist.us/