#Lukashenka can't afford to start a shooting war with #Ukraine, that would lead to #Russia losing control of #Belarus and eventual opening of a #Smalensk front. #Putin knows that, and #Zelensky knows that they both know that. The fact that Putin made Lukashenka go through the motions of moving military gear towards Ukrainian border anyway is a sign of desperation about #ZSU's operation in #Kursk and #Belgorod.